Answer: Public opinion polls are now conducted on every topic under the sun everything from presidential approval to celebrity outfits and sports predictions but they remain especially fundamental to the conduct and study of elections. Elections and polling are so intertwined that it is hard to imagine one without the other. Poll numbers provide fodder for media coverage and election predictions, they shape candidate and voter behavior, and they are the basis of interpreting the meaning of election outcomes. Public Opinion Quarterly was founded in January 1937 on the heels of the advent of modern scientific polling in U.S. presidential elections. The first issue included an essay, “Straw Polls in 1936,” explaining how George Gallup’s quota-controlled survey of a few thousand triumphed over the Literary Digest’s straw poll of millions incorrectly predicting the election outcome.
Election polling has evolved considerably since that inaugural issue. Perhaps most notably, there has been an explosion in the number of election polls in the United States. Traugott (2005) estimated a 900-percent increase in trial heat polls between 1984 and 2000. The number has continued to grow since then, due largely to the rise in interactive-voice-response (IVR) and Internet polls since the 2000 election. In the 2008 election, there were an estimated 975 presidential trial heat questions, and well over a million interviews, conducted between Labor Day and Election Day. It is telling that polling for the next presidential election now begins the day after the previous one. On November 5, 2008, Gallup reported that Sarah Palin led as a potential Republican candidate for the 2012 presidential election.1
There has also been a significant evolution in election polling. For decades, polls were typically conducted by telephone, using live interviewers, on behalf of media organizations or political candidates. Today, Internet surveys and IVR polls are increasingly common, and polls are often initiated by entrepreneurial pollsters conducting them not for a client, but self-promotion (Blumenthal 2005). The dissemination of poll numbers has also changed, with many polls now being reported directly on blogs and polling aggregation websites rather than by the traditional media. Journalists are no longer the formal gatekeepers determining if a given poll is of sufficient quality and interest to warrant the public’s attention.
It also seems that we have seen a rise and fall in the credibility of polling since POQ’s inaugural issue. Reflecting on the Literary Digest prediction disaster in the 1936 election, Crossley’s essay asked, “Is it possible to sample public opinion sufficiently accurately to forecast an election, particularly a close one?”. Crossley argued that it was, provided a representative sample was drawn. Not everyone immediately shared his view, however. It was not until the 1960s and 1970s that surveys became a fixture of political campaigns. Early skepticism that a sample of respondents could say anything about the opinions of millions gave way to a belief in the scientific basis of probability samples. Today, however, nonprobability samples typically opt-in Internet surveys are increasingly common, and probability samples are experiencing significant methodological challenges, such as increasing nonresponse and cell-phone-only households. We now hear near-constant questioning of the motivation and methods of pollsters, often instigated by partisan bloggers and pundits dissatisfied with the results of a poll. There is, once again, a haze of skepticism surrounding the entire industry.
The role of polling in elections has been the subject of numerous books and articles and has been covered with far more detail, richness, and insight than I can provide here. The common thread throughout is that technology has altered the way polls are used by the media, public, candidates, and scholars. And while polls and surveys remain vital to electoral behavior and our understanding of it, they are being increasingly supplemented or replaced by alternate measures and methods.
Explanation:
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The more angry dating subjects with mind-reading expectations become, the more likely they are to use ____________ to punish their partners.
The use of a silent treatment become prominent if the angry dating subjects became more use to mind-reading expectations,
What is a silent treatment?In a relationship, its involves the refusal of a party to communicate verbally with another person.
Sometimes, these parties use this treatment to refrain from acknowledging the presence of the other person.
In conclusion, the use of silent treatment is the answer.
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The act of ______________ entails the ability to produce intangible or tangible things that are novel or original and useful or adaptive.
A Greek who had the right to take part in ruling a city state was a?
An important change in political culture since 1950 is that united states citizens have become.
Which levels of government are needed to ratify an amendment?
Select all that apply.
international
international
tribal
tribal
state
state
federal
federal
local
Answer:
on tribal people amendment should be made by government
who set up Jesuit missons
Answer:
India,Japan,china,south America and new france
what is Malawi's most important natural resource?
Factors that contribute the youth being hesitant on being responsible citizen
what type of industries are called cottage industries
Answer:
Is defined by the amount of investment required to start, as well as the number of people employ
A cottage industry is a small-scale, decentralized manufacturing business often operated out of a home rather than a purpose-built facility. Cottage industries are defined by the amount of investment required to start, as well as the number of people employed.
Sure hope this helps and pls mark me brainiest.When conflict arises between people regarding how to reach a particular goal, it is referred to as ______. intrapersonal conflict procedural conflict relational conflict
The conflict that arises between people regarding how to reach a particular goal is intrapersonal conflict .
What is intrapersonal conflict ?Intrapersonal conflict serves as the kind of conflict which do occur between two or more parties that has the same goal.
Intrapersonal conflict is usually seen in an organization with people of the same vision.
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What was India’s Per Capita Income in 2011 as per world development report 2014?
Explanation:
In terms of purchasing power parity (PPP), the country's per capita income grew 7.65 per cent to $5,833 in 2014, against $5,418 in the previous year.
When Suzanne decides that a person's behavior was caused by some temporary aspect of the circumstances, she is making a(n) _____ attribution.
When Suzanne decides that a person's behavior was caused by some temporary aspect of the circumstances, she is making a(n) situational attribution.
What is situational attribution?Situational attribution can be defined as the way a person accept an event or circumstance that surround an event that happens in their life.
A person with situational attribution personality will tend to often assign an event to either an internal factors or external factors.
Therefore she is making a(n) situational attribution.
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What is the difference between an obligation/duty & a responsibility?
Answer:
difference between obligation and responsibility is that obligation refers to actions that must be fulfilled or performed whereas responsibility refers to an action for which you are accountable Explanation: Put this in your own words .
•You and your friend are asked to grow plants at home. If you are given only Sandy soil and your friend gets only clayey soil, will you be able to grow plants individually? Why or why not?
•How can both collaborate to grow plants?
No, we will not be able to grow plants individually because growing plants is not an easy job.
How we grow plants with collaboration?We can growth plants at home by mixing sandy and clay soil because clay particles have higher water holding capacity whereas sand particles provides porous spaces for the movement of plant roots.
So we can conclude that we will not be able to grow plants individually because growing plants is not an easy job.
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The average vehicle releases 1. 39grams of nox per mile driven. If a vehicle is driven 22,000miles per year for 15 years, how much nox does that vehicle release?.
Based on the average grams of nox released by the vehicle per mile, the total amount of nox released by the vehicle is 12,870,000 grams of nox.
What is the amount of nox released?First find out the total number of miles driven:
= 22,000 x 15
= 330,000 miles
The total amount of nox released is:
= Number of miles driven x nox per mile
= 330,000 x 39
= 12,870,000 grams of nox
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Thao is trying to decide whether to ask Sue out. What information processing bias will be most likely operating when he makes his decision
Answer:
his own idea of himself
Explanation:
What Was the purpose of chain mail?
Answer:
Chain mail is the protective material that knights wear as part of a suit of armor. Made from small circles of metal, chain mail defends against slashing swords
why did city-states fight one another
Answer:
For Territory and the seek of more resources.
Explanation:
The water of Nepal is called white gold. Why?
Chinua Achebe, what is his most famous novel?
Answer:
"When Things Fall Apart"
Explanation:
Chinua Achebe is most famous for his novel Things Fall Apart, published in 1958, which tells the story of an Igbo village's reaction to British missionaries and colonial authorities. Chinua Achebe's Things Fall Apart “has sold between 15 million and 20 million copies worldwide in 60 languages,” according to the late author's literary agent. This would make the novel, not only his first, but his most famous and most read novel.
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How frequently should you take breaks when driving long distances?.
When driving over long distances, it is advised that a person has to take breaks of 15 minutes for every two hours.
Why does a person have to take breaks while driving?
When a person is driving long distances, they may get to be fatigued and might need rest. Taking breaks helps to increase alertness for the driver.
By so doing they may not fall asleep on the wheel and they would be able to drive better.
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Aarti works as an interviewer and is not overqualified for her job. what level of education does aarti most likely have? some high school a master’s degree a bachelor’s degree a high school diploma
Bachelor's degree is a college degree. Aarti works as an interviewer and she has a bachelor’s degree.
What is a bachelor’s degree?
A degree given/awarded by a college or university to a student on successful completion of the enrolled program.
Aarti works as an interviewer and is not overqualified for her job, so she is having a bachelor’s degree.
Therefore, option c describes the statement.
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Answer:
he/she is right
Explanation:
i got the same answer
Why should the UN have an army
protect civilian populations, safeguard relief efforts, negotiate with local authorities or warlords the circumstances of their day-to-day functions, and cope with the constant threat of armed attack.
Answer:It provides securityin war zones, during elections, and assist in- country military personnel training and support.
Explanation:
_____ refer to the tensions that result from the conflicting nature of how the public defines a relationship and the private interactions that take place in the relationship.
Contextual dialectics refer to the tensions that result from the conflicting nature of how the public defines a relationship. Below is a further explanation.
What are dialectical tensions in relationship?Dialectical tensions is defined as opposing forces that people experience in their relationships, are important for relational development. Predictability-novelty, for instance, is an example of a tension manifested by partners simultaneously desiring predictability and spontaneity in their relationships.
Therefore, the correct answer is contextual dialectics.
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Which organization issued the credo for communication ethics? a. national ethics association b. national communication association c. national association of communication ethics d. national communication ethics association please select the best answer from the choices provided a b c d.
Answer:answer is B
Explanation:
just took it right now
Answer:
b. National Communication Association
Explanation:
i took the test on edge, received a 100!
what are the economic activities of north america
Answer:
paper industries, forest products, lumbering and also mining
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Answer: Agriculture, floriculture, horticulture and animal husbandry
Explanation:
Which type of theory is being argued for when a political scientist argues that only a small number of people hold power in a society?
A. Marxist
B. proletariat
C. communist
D. elitist
Answer:
D. elitist
Explanation:
Answer:
D. elitist
Explanation:
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What is the full form of ST,SC,?
Answer:
Full form of following is:-ST :Scheduled TribesSC: Scheduled CasteAnswer:
ST stands for Schedule Tribe
SC stands for Schedule Caste
Explanation:-
Scheduled Castes and Scheduled Tribes are officially designated groups of people and are among the most disadvantaged socio-economic groups in India. The terms are recognized in the Constitution of India and group together.
Which nation declared itself neutral but later entered the war in 1917?
Answer: the answer is the United States.
Explanation:
Answer:
The United States
what is dowry system?
Answer:
the system where a bride gives cash,durable goods,movable property to the groom,his parents and his relatives as a condition of marriage.......
Explanation:
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